NBA Playoff Projections
Our projection engine combines team efficiency ratings, pace-of-play, real-time injury reports and usage redistribution to produce game score projections and per-player prop forecasts. Market lines are fetched automatically so you can see where the model disagrees with the books.
Model Performance
Daily Projections
Game scores, spreads, totals and player props refreshed every morning by 10am ET during playoffs.
Filter & Explore
Interactive dashboard — filter by series, team, player or edge size. Sort by any column.
CSV Export
Download the full projection dataset anytime. Your data, your spreadsheet.
Preview the data
What you get
Projected scores, spreads, totals and win probabilities for all active playoff series. Updated by 10am ET each game day.
PTS, REB, AST, 3PM, STL, BLK projections for every rotation player (15+ min). Sorted by projected output or edge size.
When a player is ruled out, the model redistributes their usage across remaining teammates proportionally. Props adjust in real time.
Side-by-side: model projection vs current market line. Games and props where the model differs by 3+ points are flagged as edges.
Running accuracy: RMSE on total scores, ATS record, over/under record, and player prop hit rates — updated after every game.
Download the full projection dataset anytime. Game projections, player props, model inputs, accuracy history — all columns.
Highlights
- Efficiency × Pace model (same framework as FiveThirtyEight RAPTOR and ESPN BPI)
- EWMA-blended player averages — 65% last 15 games, 35% season — captures playoff form
- Opponent-specific defensive adjustment per player, not just team-level
- Automatic recalculation triggered when injury statuses change
- Every projection is tracked post-game — running RMSE, cover rate, prop hit rate
- All data sources are official or public — no scraped odds, no grey-area feeds
- Model version and all inputs are transparent — you can see exactly why a projection moved
How it works
Purchase
One-time payment via Stripe. No subscription, no recurring charges.
Access your dashboard
Use your existing account, or receive login credentials if a new account is provisioned.
Explore & export
Filter, sort, search the full dataset. Export to CSV anytime.
Disclaimer
NBA Playoff Projections is a statistical analysis product. All projections are generated by mathematical models using publicly available data and are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. This product does not constitute gambling advice, betting recommendations, or financial guidance of any kind. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy. Datamata Studios is not affiliated with the NBA, any NBA team, or any sportsbook. Users are responsible for understanding and complying with all applicable laws in their jurisdiction regarding sports wagering. Use of this product is subject to our Terms of Service.